Program

Week Wed. 19 Thu. 20 Fri. 21 List

	Wed. 19	Thu. 20	Fri. 21
09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00	Registration and opening 9:00 - 9:30 (30min) Registration and opening Tutorial on Bayesian Hypothesis Testing in the Social Sciences: Rationale, Execution, and Interpretation 9:30 - 11:30 (2h) Tutorial on Bayesian Hypothesis Testing in the Social Sciences: Rationale, Execution, and Interpretation Eric-Jan Wagenmakers Tutorial on Bayesian Demography 13:00 - 15:00 (2h) Tutorial on Bayesian Demography Adrian Raftery Tutorial on Bayesian Analysis of Social Networks 15:30 - 17:30 (2h) Tutorial on Bayesian Analysis of Social Networks Pierre Latouche	James Berger 9:00 - 9:30 (30min) James Berger The Empirical Error of P-values, E-values and Objective posterior probabilities Eric-Jan Wagenmakers 9:30 - 10:00 (30min) Eric-Jan Wagenmakers Approximate objective Bayes factors from p-Values and sample size: The 3p \sqrt{n} rule Zoltan Dienes 10:00 - 10:30 (30min) Zoltan Dienes Using Bayes to severely test theories Pierre Latouche 11:00 - 11:30 (30min) Pierre Latouche Bayesian Statistics, AI, and networks for the analysis of the last French presidential election Nial Friel 11:30 - 12:00 (30min) Nial Friel Bayesian approaches for zero-inflated weighted networks Sophie Donnet 12:00 - 12:30 (30min) Sophie Donnet Bayesian inference for a Poisson Stochastic Blockmodel for weighted social networks Robin Ryder 14:00 - 14:30 (30min) Robin Ryder Bayesian methods for Historical Linguistics Zita Oravecz 14:30 - 15:00 (30min) Zita Oravecz Bayesian inference for dynamical models of emotion Maarten Marsman 15:00 - 15:30 (30min) Maarten Marsman Structure learning of psychometric networks Poster session 16:00 - 18:00 (2h) Poster session	Adrian Raftery 9:00 - 9:30 (30min) Adrian Raftery Very long-term Bayesian population projections for climate assessment Peter Smith 9:30 - 10:00 (30min) Peter Smith A hierarchical Bayesian model for estimating European migration flows Arkadiusz Wisniowski 10:00 - 10:30 (30min) Arkadiusz Wisniowski Using informative priors in estimating migration Brendan Murphy 11:00 - 11:30 (30min) Brendan Murphy Modeling the social media relationships of Irish politicians using a generalized latent space stochastic blockmodel Julia Haaf 11:30 - 12:00 (30min) Julia Haaf Testing Theories as Ordinal Constraint: A Bayes Factor Approach Joris Mulder 12:00 - 12:30 (30min) Joris Mulder A latent variable approach for relational data with multiple receivers Monica Alexander 14:00 - 14:30 (30min) Monica Alexander Jointly Estimating Subnational Mortality for Multiple Populations Jon Forster 14:30 - 15:00 (30min) Jon Forster Bayesian methods for mortality forecasting and backcasting Niamh Cahill 15:00 - 15:30 (30min) Niamh Cahill The use of family planning service statistics for informing estimates of projections of modern contraceptive prevalence Stéphane Robin 16:00 - 16:30 (30min) Stéphane Robin Tree-based mixture model for networks and epidemiology Tiago Peixoto 16:30 - 17:00 (30min) Tiago Peixoto Disentangling homophily, community structure and triadic closure in networks Etienne Côme 17:00 - 17:30 (30min) Etienne Côme Contiguity Constrained Bayesian Hierarchical Clustering: regularization path and dendrogram Andrew Gelman 17:30 - 18:00 (30min) Andrew Gelman How should Bayesian methods for the social sciences differ from Bayesian methods for the physical sciences?

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